I am trying to understand what the question of the progressions has to do about deciding if the Moon's transit is a trigger or not. The Moon either is a timing tool or it is not. But I don't see how looking at progressions affects that question. I have not doubts there will be prominent progressions indicating this internal struggle. I thought the question we had was whether or not there were Lunar transits denoting it?Transiting Mars is actually 17:57 out of orb of opposition of radical Mars. Saturn is however 52' from opposition to the radical MC, if separating.
More significant as a day marker is the Quotidian MC (by Solar phase angle) in opposition to radical Mercury (within 10'). Mercury rules the 10th House from the 12th.
Transiting Pluto is square radical Moon (05').
Someone versed in Traditional elements would be expected to notice that the transiting Moon is conjunct antiscion Sun (01'), as of the timestamp I found for Biden's announcement.
But let's investigate progressions in effect to determine whether or not the transiting Moon had any impact as a trigger for them.
And let's remember to keep politics out of this, and discuss the astrology only.
The chart below shows the birthchart on the inner wheel and the transits for 7/21/2024 1046 EDT and the Quotidian angles, calculated using the natal Sun-MC phase angle, on the outer wheel.
View attachment 115649
In this case , of Biden's surprise announcement to withdraw, The Moon was just 2 hours past the exact square between transit Moon and his natal Moon. I'm sure it took awhile for them to set ups the actual announcement. I think that during the most intense portion of that transit, the several hours prior to exact, he was probably actively being browbeaten by his political colleagues, insisting he make that decision to withdraw.
IMO.